Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia, the flagbearer of the New Patriotic Party (NPP), has exuded confidence in his chances of winning the 2024 general elections, asserting that his victory over the National Democratic Congress (NDC) is inevitable. According to him, the only variable is the margin of the win.
This comes on the back of a poll conducted by Professor Smart Sarpong, which projects Bawumia as the frontrunner with 49.1% of the vote.
While addressing party supporters during a campaign tour in the Saboba constituency on Saturday, November 23, Dr. Bawumia urged Ghanaians to come out in large numbers to ensure a decisive victory for the NPP.
“Make no mistake about it. By the grace of God, Insha Allah, we are winning this election. The only issue for me today, if we vote today, is the gap,” Dr. Bawumia said.
He continued, “How big a gap are we going to give our opponents? I want a big gap. I want all of you to come out because we want to beat them well, well.”
Dr. Bawumia emphasized the importance of maintaining momentum on the campaign trail, urging the party’s grassroots to remain vigilant and work tirelessly to consolidate their support base.
Analysis: Bawumia’s Advantage Over John Dramani Mahama
As Ghana gears up for the 2024 general elections, the battle between Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia and John Dramani Mahama is shaping up to be one of the most closely watched contests in the country’s political history. Several factors give Dr. Bawumia a strategic edge over his NDC opponent:
1. Strong Economic Expertise
Dr. Bawumia’s background as an economist and former Deputy Governor of the Bank of Ghana positions him as a credible candidate to tackle Ghana’s economic challenges. His digitalization initiatives, such as the mobile money interoperability system and the digital property address system, have been touted as transformative.
In contrast, Mahama’s tenure as President was marred by economic instability, including high inflation and a power crisis (dumsor), which the NPP has repeatedly used to criticize his leadership.
2. Appeal to Younger Voters
Bawumia’s focus on digitalization resonates strongly with the youth, who see him as a forward-thinking leader capable of modernizing Ghana. His policies align with the aspirations of younger voters, particularly those engaged in tech, entrepreneurship, and digital platforms.
Mahama, while experienced, may struggle to connect with the younger demographic in the same way, as his campaign often leans on traditional politics.
3. Fresh Leadership vs. Familiar Rival
Having served as Vice President for two terms under Nana Akufo-Addo, Bawumia is viewed as a continuation of the NPP’s leadership but with a fresh perspective. Conversely, Mahama represents a return to a leadership style that some voters associate with past challenges, such as governance issues and stalled development projects.
4. Regional Dynamics
Bawumia’s background as a Northerner provides the NPP with a unique opportunity to make inroads into the Northern regions, traditionally considered NDC strongholds. His candidacy may neutralize Mahama’s advantage in these areas, especially as Bawumia continues to emphasize his roots and commitment to regional development.
5. Credibility on Policy Implementation
Bawumia is widely regarded as the architect of many of the NPP’s flagship policies, including the Free SHS program, Planting for Food and Jobs, and the One-District-One-Factory initiative. His involvement in these policies gives him credibility as a hands-on leader who can deliver.
Mahama, while experienced, has been criticized for not implementing policies with the same efficiency during his time in office.
6. Recent Polls and Public Sentiment
The latest poll by Professor Smart Sarpong places Bawumia ahead, suggesting a shift in public sentiment in favor of the NPP. While polls are not definitive, they highlight Bawumia’s growing acceptance among the electorate, especially in key swing constituencies.
Challenges Ahead for Bawumia
Despite these advantages, Dr. Bawumia faces challenges, including voter fatigue with the NPP after eight years in power and dissatisfaction with current economic hardships. Additionally, Mahama’s name recognition and established support base cannot be underestimated.
However, if Bawumia can effectively communicate his vision and distance himself from perceived lapses of the Akufo-Addo administration while emphasizing his economic and digitalization successes, he stands a strong chance of securing victory in the 2024 elections.
In conclusion, Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia’s focus on innovation, youth engagement, and regional inclusivity positions him as a formidable candidate. His ability to differentiate his leadership style from both his predecessors and opponents will be key in determining the outcome of the 2024 elections.
About The Author
